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BOE Vlieghe Comments Keep GBP Buoyed

GBP
MNI (London)
  • Reversal of fortunes for GBP Thursday on BOE MPC Vlieghe hawkish comments (seen as a stand out dove). Vlieghe said it would probably take until Q1 next year to have a clear view of post-furlough and wage dynamics, adding that a rise in Bank rate could be appropriate soon after.
  • GBP/USD's recovery away from its earlier Thursday low of $1.4092 lifted post comments, and into the NY session, to $1.4219 before momentum faded, the rate settling on $1.4200 into the close.
  • The corrective pullback continued at a mild pace in Asia, GBP/USD easing to $1.4182 with the $1.4200 level providing a cap into Europe.
  • EUR/GBP has moved back below its key 10-dma (current Gbp0.8614) and seen providing a supporting feel for GBP.
  • Resistance $1.4200, $1.4220 ahead of $1.4234/37 then $1.4250.
  • Support $1.4180, $1.4155/40 ahead of $1.4120.
  • Month-end approaches (UK and US on holiday Monday) so could see some position adjustments into the long weekend, with increased fix interest possible (there will be a fix on Monday).
  • A light event calendar in the UK Friday. Focus on EZ Confidence data 0900GMT. US Core PCE, Personal income/spending 1230GMT, Chicago PMI 1345GMT, UofM 1400GMT.
  • MNI Techs: GBPUSD bounced well Thursday, reversing weakness seen earlier in week. Outlook remains bullish and sights are on 1.4237, Feb 24 high and the key bull trigger. Break would reinforce a bullish case and importantly confirm a resumption of the broader uptrend that started March 2020. On the downside, initial firm support unchanged at 1.4006, May 13 low where a break would suggest scope for a deeper corrective pullback.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-586-2231 | john.webb@marketnews.com

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