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Bolsonaro Struggling In Polls Behind Potential Lula Candidacy

BRAZIL

Latest first and second round opinion polls show that former leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would be on course to beat incumbent right-winger President Jair Bolsonaro should the former decide to run and gain the Workers' Party nomination for president.

  • Presidential election poll (1st round): Lula da Silva (PT): 36.8%, Jair Bolsonaro (inc-APB): 26.8%, Sergio Moro (Ind-Declined): 5.1%, Ciro Gomes (PDT): 5%, Luciano Huck (Ind): 4.5%, Joao Doria (PSDB): 3.3%, Luiz Mandetta (DEM): 2.7%, Joao Amoedo (Novo): 2.6 %. Instituto Mapa, 20/05/21
  • Presidential election poll (2nd round) : Lula da Silva (PT): 51.4%, Jair Bolsonaro (inc-APB): 31.5 %. Instituto Mapa, 20/05/21
  • Lula has been ahead of Bolsonaro in all recent polling in the weeks following the restoration of his political rights on 8 March, when corruption charges against the former president were annulled. The third wave of COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil has also damaged the standing of the incumbent Bolsonaro.

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