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Latest first and second round opinion polls show that former leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would be on course to beat incumbent right-winger President Jair Bolsonaro should the former decide to run and gain the Workers' Party nomination for president.
- Presidential election poll (1st round): Lula da Silva (PT): 36.8%, Jair Bolsonaro (inc-APB): 26.8%, Sergio Moro (Ind-Declined): 5.1%, Ciro Gomes (PDT): 5%, Luciano Huck (Ind): 4.5%, Joao Doria (PSDB): 3.3%, Luiz Mandetta (DEM): 2.7%, Joao Amoedo (Novo): 2.6 %. Instituto Mapa, 20/05/21
- Presidential election poll (2nd round) : Lula da Silva (PT): 51.4%, Jair Bolsonaro (inc-APB): 31.5 %. Instituto Mapa, 20/05/21
- Lula has been ahead of Bolsonaro in all recent polling in the weeks following the restoration of his political rights on 8 March, when corruption charges against the former president were annulled. The third wave of COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil has also damaged the standing of the incumbent Bolsonaro.