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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessBONDS: Curves Bull Steepen As Global Growth Concerns Build
The German and UK cash curves have bull steepened alongside US Treasuries this morning, as a confluence of factors support core FI.
- A surprise 20bp MLF cut from the PBoC overnight set the tone, before weak UK and European earnings (particularly in Autos) sparked a broader risk-off.
- Soft European survey data from France and Germany (IFO) alongside a continued unwind of JPY carry trades helped exacerbate the moves.
- Bund futures reached a high of 132.78 but now trade at 132.69 (+35 ticks today) as equity markets stabilise somewhat. Gilts are similarly +29 ticks at 98.11, down from a high of 98.21.
- The German and UK 2s10s curves have steepened almost 2bp today, with the latter challenging March 2023 steeps at typing.
- 10-year peripheral spreads have widened again amid the equity market weakness.
- Italy issued the new 3.10% Aug-26 BTP Short Term today (alongside a re-opening of two BTPei’s), which attracted a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.50x.
- Focus now turns to commentary from Bundesbank’s Nagel at 1200BST/1300CET, before today’s US macro data (Q2 GDP prelim, jobless claims).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.