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Free AccessBonds took a hit on the back of the....>
AUSSIE BONDS: Bonds took a hit on the back of the local labour mkt report, which
showed a solid bounce back in headline jobs growth after last month's fall,
surpassing exp. & facilitating a modest downtick in the unemp. rate as
participation held steady. Looking deeper into the details of the report, it
wasn't as upbeat, gains were largely driven by part time jobs & the prior
headline fall was revised deeper into -ve territory. That being said, the RBA
will take the fall in unemployment, and now look to the Dec report for more
clarity. IBs now price a ~45% chance of an RBA cut in Feb, down from the ~60%
seen at yesterday's close, but we should remember that the unemp. rate has
hovered in a 5.2-5.3% range for 8 straight months, well above the RBA's full
employment estimate of 4.5%, and after all, one print doesn't make a trend.
Elsewhere, underemployment & underutilisation edged lower.
- YM & XM closed off their respective lows, probably on the caveats highlighted
above, but were still comfortably lower after a little bit of chop. YM -7.0, XM
-6.5. Bills went out 6-7 ticks lower through the reds, with a buyer of IRM0M1
probably providing the highlight on the flow side.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.