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Bonds took a hit on the back of the....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Bonds took a hit on the back of the local labour mkt report, which
showed a solid bounce back in headline jobs growth after last month's fall,
surpassing exp. & facilitating a modest downtick in the unemp. rate as
participation held steady. Looking deeper into the details of the report, it
wasn't as upbeat, gains were largely driven by part time jobs & the prior
headline fall was revised deeper into -ve territory. That being said, the RBA
will take the fall in unemployment, and now look to the Dec report for more
clarity. IBs now price a ~45% chance of an RBA cut in Feb, down from the ~60%
seen at yesterday's close, but we should remember that the unemp. rate has
hovered in a 5.2-5.3% range for 8 straight months, well above the RBA's full
employment estimate of 4.5%, and after all, one print doesn't make a trend.
Elsewhere, underemployment & underutilisation edged lower.
- YM & XM closed off their respective lows, probably on the caveats highlighted
above, but were still comfortably lower after a little bit of chop. YM -7.0, XM
-6.5. Bills went out 6-7 ticks lower through the reds, with a buyer of IRM0M1
probably providing the highlight on the flow side.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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