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Bottlenecks Easing (2/3): ABNAmro Eyes Easing Supply/Demand Imbalances

GLOBAL

The improving supply-side picture out of China is a key theme in easing global bottlenecks, as seen in ABNAmro's June global supply bottlenecks index (which was published a couple of days before the NY Fed's equivalent) to early 2021 levels, see chart.

  • The drop was driven "particularly on the jump in the ratio of the global manufacturing PMI output component for EMs versus the orders components for DMs. A further drop in global shipping tariffs, as well as a drop in the global manufacturing PMI backlogs component, also contributed to the easing in our index"
  • As we'd noted yesterday following the solid Global PMI release, the acceleration in Chinese activity even as Developed Market activity slows could be a key theme for the coming months, and one that could portend further easing in supply-chain pressures.

Source: ABNAmro

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