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BRL Consolidating Recent Strength, VAT Tax Reform Passes Through Senate

BRAZIL
  • The Senate's Committee for Constitution and Justice (CCJ) approved the VAT tax reform on Tuesday. Itaú note the text has to pass two rounds of voting on the Senate, whose plenary is scheduled to discuss the proposal today. If approved, it will return to the Lower House, which has already approved the reform but needs to vote on the proposed changes made by the Senate.
  • USDBRL traded sharply lower late last week, and the pair has consolidated this move over the past two sessions. The pair has breached trendline support at 4.9647. The trendline is drawn from the Jul 28 low and the break confirms a resumption of the downtrend that started Oct 6. Note too that this also cancels a recent bullish theme. Sights are on 4.8408 next, the Sep 19 low and the 4.8000 handle. Initial firm resistance is at 5.0696, the Oct 31 high.

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