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BTPs Responding To ECB Hike Pricing, NOT Broader Risk-Off

EGBS

BTP spreads continue to fall alongside ECB rate hike pricing: despite ECB rhetoric this week seemingly cementing a July hike, OIS implied end-2022 ECB rates at 19bp, low of 17bp today (lowest since Apr 28th) and off 35bp highs last week.

  • 10Y BTP/Bund coming down from the recent peak above 200bp as well, last 184bp.
  • The accompanying chart confirms that correlation is alive and well - with BTP risk spreads defying the broader risk-off that has gripped markets in the past week.

Source: BBG, MNI

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