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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
BULGARIA-Political Paralysis Set To Continue, Pro-Russia Party Scores Well
Bulgaria's 2 April general election failed to deliver a clear majority coalition, meaning that what was the country's fifth general election in two years may not be the last snap vote any time soon. The populist conservative GERB-Union of Democratic Forces (SDS) alliance led by former PM Boyko Borisov won a plurality of seats, but is unlikely to find enough coalition allies to form a majority gov't.
- Without a stable, pro-EU gov't the prospect of Bulgaria joining the eurozone recedes further into the distance, while the lack of a 2023 budget bill and the likelihood of another caretaker technocratic gov't could limit Bulgaria's ability to utilise EU COVID-19 recovery funding.
- For the EU there will be some concern at both long-standing political paralysis, and the strength of the anti-NATO, eurosceptic, pro-Kremlin Revival Party, which emerged as the third-largest party in parliament with 37 seats.
- The liberal pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (PP-DB) coalition came in second place, with 67 seats to GERB's 69. Much like Borisov, though, PP heads Kiril Petkov and Asen Vasilev are unlikely to be able to put together a majority coalition.
- This is unless the Turkish-minority interest Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) - 36 seats - abandons its long-standing partnership with GERB in order to unite with PP-BG, the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BzBSP) - 23 seats- and the populist There is Such a People (ITN) - 11 seats.
Source: Electoral Commission, MNI
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
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