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CANADA: BOC Sr Deputy Gov Carolyn Wilkins Thursday reiterated main
points of Wednesday policy interest rate decision maintaining 1.75% key
rate, but strengthens language about problems. Example: global trade
wars "a major preoccupation" for BOC in new rate decisions. U.S.-China
damaging themselves, rest of world. Trade environment makes global and
Canadian slowdown worse than expected, holding back CDN biz investment
decisions, undermining biz sentiment. Total biz investment as share of
GDP to be flat over next two years. Sees overall economy on track with
April growth forecast +1.3% in Q2,improving further in H2. Strong income
growth in record low labor unemployment supporting consumption.
Particularly watching trade environment as "wild card" in future
outlook, along with CDN household spending and oil markets. Policy rate
stimulus remains appropriate. Spoke to Calgary Chamber of Commerce.