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EGBS: Bund Futures Move Back Towards Session Highs

EGBS

Bund futures are +24 ticks today at 136.19, moving back towards session highs. Early support stemmed from a RTRS sources piece, which flagged the potential for a weaker CNY going forwards.

  • A bull cycle in Bund futures remains intact and the pullback from last Monday’s highs appears corrective.
  • Initial support lies at 135.75 (Dec 10 low), which shields the 20-day EMA at 135.46.
  • German yields are up to 1.5bps lower across the curve.
  • EU-bond spreads to Bunds are up to 1bp wider through 5 to 30-year maturities, following the release of the EU's H1-25 issuance plan after yesterday's close. The EU plans to sell E90bln of bonds in H1. This was likely larger (and more front-loaded) than markets had been expecting.
  • The 10-year OAT/Bund spread is 1bp wider at ~76.5bps, with President Macron still trying to appoint a Prime Minister that will satisfy France’s fragmented National Assembly.
  • Today’s market focus is the November US CPI report and the BoC decision, with the ECB decision headlining tomorrow’s regional calendar. 
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Bund futures are +24 ticks today at 136.19, moving back towards session highs. Early support stemmed from a RTRS sources piece, which flagged the potential for a weaker CNY going forwards.

  • A bull cycle in Bund futures remains intact and the pullback from last Monday’s highs appears corrective.
  • Initial support lies at 135.75 (Dec 10 low), which shields the 20-day EMA at 135.46.
  • German yields are up to 1.5bps lower across the curve.
  • EU-bond spreads to Bunds are up to 1bp wider through 5 to 30-year maturities, following the release of the EU's H1-25 issuance plan after yesterday's close. The EU plans to sell E90bln of bonds in H1. This was likely larger (and more front-loaded) than markets had been expecting.
  • The 10-year OAT/Bund spread is 1bp wider at ~76.5bps, with President Macron still trying to appoint a Prime Minister that will satisfy France’s fragmented National Assembly.
  • Today’s market focus is the November US CPI report and the BoC decision, with the ECB decision headlining tomorrow’s regional calendar.