February 05, 2025 10:28 GMT
EGBS: Bund Futures Pierce Monday's High, Following USTs Higher
EGBS
Bund futures have pierced Monday’s high, currently +47 ticks at 133.59. Regional data/speakers have not been market moving, with major EGB futures following USTs higher through the session.
- Today’s rally in Bunds exposes 133.73 (50.0% retracement of the Dec 2 - Jan 14 bear leg) and 133.86 (Jan 2 high) on the upside.
- The German curve has bull flattened, with 30-year yields ~4.5bps lower today.
- 10-year EGB spreads are within 0.5bps of yesterday’s closing levels. French PM Bayrou is expected to survive two censure motions later this afternoon.
- Eurozone January services/composite PMIs were broadly in line with flash prints, while December PPI was close to consensus.
- The ECB wage tracker was little changed compared to the December release, still pointing to a deceleration of wage growth this year.
- ECB Vice President de Guindos played down the role of the neutral rate in setting near-term policy an interview. This comes ahead of an ECB staff report on the concept on Friday.
- Global focus turns to the US Quarterly Refunding Announcement at 1330GMT/1430CET, with US services sentiment data also due this afternoon.
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