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CAD Front End Underperforms US With US CPI Looming

CANADA
  • 2Y GoCs underperform Tsys, back unchanged on the day vs Tsys -2bps, to push the Can-US yield differential to -25.5bp for what would be its second highest close since mid-Oct.
  • CAD rates echo this underperformance, with 3M CORRA futures trading unchanged to 2 ticks cheaper vs up to 3.5 ticks richer for SOFR counterparts. CORH4/Z4 at -79bps is its least inverted since late Nov.
  • There have been few local drivers for the day’s move, with about half the move coming with the open and the remainder since NY Fed inflation expectations saw a notably low 3Y segment.
  • US factors will no doubt set the tone tomorrow as well with CPI.

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