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CAD Underperforms Ahead Of CPI Data

CANADA
  • USDCAD has continued to push higher in recent hours ahead of CPI at 0830ET, lifting 50 pips from a new recent low of 1.3117. A follow-up hike from the BoC on Jul 12 is approximately two thirds priced ahead of the data, with focus firmly on near-term run rates after April's acceleration was one important factor behind the BoC coming off the sidelines.
  • CAD is second weakest amongst G10 FX on the day with only NOK underperforming by more as crude oil has fallen sharply for -1.7% on the day.
  • The recent lift sees USDCAD pull back from last week’s oversold territory on a 14-day RSI basis but only to 32. Support is seen at 1.3084 (1.618 proj of Apr 28 – May 8 – May 26 price swing) before a stronger 1.2992 (50% retrace of Jun-Oct bull rally), whilst to the upside sits 1.3226 (Jun 23 high).

Source: Bloomberg

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