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Canadian Rate Path Holds Near Highs

STIR FUTURES
  • BAX futures currently sit up to 7.5 ticks higher in the red pack today.
  • It does little to change the overall curve though: it's similar to after BOC Dep Gov Kozicki said two weeks ago that the Bank was “prepared to act forcefully” ahead of the Apr 13 meeting, prompting analyst forecasts for multiple 50bp hikes in keeping with Fed views.
  • Implied yields are almost 100bps higher than after the Mar 2 meeting, seen peaking at 3.41% in the U3 contract, whilst BOC-dated OIS prices 51bps for next week and 215bps to year-end.

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