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Capex Booming, FY24 Growth Solid But Slower

AUSTRALIA DATA

Q2 Australian capital expenditure was stronger than expected rising 2.8% q/q after an upwardly revised 3.7% the previous quarter. This left annual capex growth at 10.8% y/y up from 7.2% and the strongest since Q2 2021. Both building and machinery & equipment investment are robust but the former is driving the strength. Investment is needed to try and boost productivity.

  • Building capex rose 3.5% q/q to be up 15% y/y after 3.2% and 8.3% in Q1, consistent with the Q2 construction data. This component has been boosted by both mining, especially related to lithium, and non-mining projects.
  • Machinery & equipment rose 1.9% q/q to be up 6.4% y/y following 4.2% and 5.9% in Q1. The Q1 quarterly rise was revised up 0.5pp, but that is likely to have a negligible impact on GDP revisions. The ABS noted that machinery & equipment capex has been boosted by the easing in supply chain pressures improving availability especially of vehicles, and the expiry on June 30 of a “full expensing tax incentive”. So there could be payback in H2 2023.
  • Investment intentions for FY2024 were revised up 14.5% to be 7.1% higher than the same estimate for FY2023. Building was revised up 13.6% to be up 8.7% y/y and machinery & equipment +15.9% to 4.6% y/y.
Australia capital expenditure y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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