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CEEMEA FX Price Signal Summary: USDZAR Approaches Key Resistance

EMERGING MARKETS
  • EURHUF remains in a clear downtrend but has entered a short-term consolidation phase. The cross remains vulnerable following the reversal from 362.46 on Jul 26 and the subsequent strong sell-off. Attention is on 349.23 next, 76.4% of the Jun - Jul rally. On the upside, resistance is at 355.57, the Aug 11 high.
  • EURPLN is higher again today. Recent price action in the cross has defined key directional parameters at; 4.6017, the Jul 20 high and a key resistance plus 4.5309, the Jul 15 low and key short-term support. A break of either level would provide a clearer directional signal. Note, yesterday's bullish engulfing candle pattern signals a potential for gains and this is in line with the moving average set-up.
  • USDZAR continues to climb. Yesterday's key technical development was the break of the 15.00 handle and the Jul high of 14.9957. The break confirms a resumption of the current uptrend that started Jun 7 and signals scope for a climb towards 15.5726, the Mar 8 high. 14.9957 marks the initial support.
  • USDTRY is slightly firmer but remains within a broader range. A break of 8.8008, Jun 2 high is required to confirm a resumption of the broader uptrend. Near-term, a bearish risk suggests scope for weakness towards 8.2629, the Aug 3 low.
  • USDRUB support to watch is 72.6851 the Aug 2 low. A break of this level would expose the 72.00 handle. From a short-term perspective, the pair is firmer and has cleared resistance at 74.1411. An extension would open the bull trigger at 75.3497, Jul 8 high.

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