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CFTC: Short-Covering Spur Tips JPY Position Net Long

CFTC
  • The much-watched JPY short-covering rally posted off the July lows in spot may have reached a peak in Friday's CFTC report, which shows the overall net position has tipped into neutral/net long for the first time since early 2021.
  • Sharp covering of shorts across the leveraged funds and asset manager investor classes is largely responsible (however we note these two groups are still marginally net short the currency) and has tipped the 52w Z-score aggressively higher, hitting 3.2 on an outright basis and 4.1 when measured as a % of open interest.
  • Outside of the JPY, Friday's CFTC update shows a deterioration of the net longs across both GBP and MXN, which slip further of recent highs in positioning. CAD has now solidly replaced JPY as the currency against which markets hold the largest net short, holding close to a 52w low of 55.6% of open interest last week.
  • Full update here: 

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