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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
GERMANY
Betting markets showing bettors shifting money away from the prospect of the centre-right Christian Democratic Union sitting as part of the next German gov't according to the latest data from Smarkets.
- In the immediate aftermath of the 26 September federal election, the 'Jamaica' coalition (CDU/CSU-Green-FDP) was given a 21.3% implied probability of forming the next gov't. This has now fallen to 16.7%. Meanwhile, the prospect of a 'traffic light' coalition (SPD, Green, FDP) has risen from 72.5% to 78.7%.
- Polls continue to show strong public support for the SPD's Olaf Scholz to serve as the next German chancellor.
Chart 1. Implied Probability of Following Governing Coalitions being Formed in Germany, %
Soucre: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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