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China’s Crude Throughput To Fall In March, April On Maintenance

OIL

China's crude throughput in April is set to fall further from March as both state-owned and small-sized independent refineries enter maintenance season, and despite integrated private plants increasing utilization, data from S&P Global Commodity Insights show.

  • The average utilization at China's state-owned refiners Sinopec, PetroChina, CNOOC and Sinochem fell to 81.1% in March from the three-month high of 82.5% in February, according to S&P Global.
  • China's crude throughput stood at 14.42mbpd over January-February, up by 1.8% from December, data from National Bureau of Statistics showed.
  • In April, a combined 680kbpd of capacity at state-owned refineries will be offline for scheduled maintenance, S&P Global data showed. This adds to 440kbpd of capacity shut in March.
  • A combined 2.07mbpd of capacity at refineries will be offline for scheduled maintenance in the first half of 2023, according to S&P Global data, though not all at the same time.
  • Despite the heavy maintenance schedule, China may raise clean oil product exports by 32.2% to 2.1mn mt in April from 1.6mn mt in March amid the slower-than-expected recovery in domestic demand after the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions, according to S&P.
  • China is forecast to export 35mn mt of oil products in 2023, largely steady from 2022, according to China's Economics and Technology Research Institute.

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