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CZECHIA: CNB Holds Financial Stability Meeting, Q4 Wage Growth Tops Expectations

CZECHIA
  • The Czech National Bank (CNB) holds a meeting on financial stability today, with the decision on the countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate and other macroprudential settings expected at 14:30GMT/15:30CET. At the previous financial stability meeting in November, the Bank Board decided to leave the CCyB rate unchanged at 1.25% and said that "if the economy continues to move into the growth phase of the financial cycle, the CNB is ready to increase the buffer rate."
  • CNB Governor Ales Michl reiterated his warning that Czechia should avoid too loose monetary and fiscal policies in order to better prepare for future shocks that may have their sources abroad. The Governor wrote on X that the role of import prices as a driver of inflation has been increasing, which the central bank's DSGE model failed to predict.
  • Czech real wages grew by 4.2% Y/Y in 4Q24, exceeding the consensus forecast of +3.8% and the CNB's projection of +4.0%. In the whole 2024, nominal wages rose by 7.1% Y/Y and real wages increased by 4.6% Y/Y.
  • President Petr Pavel and his Slovak counterpart Peter Pellegrini said that differences in foreign policy views should not have a negative impact on bilateral relations. Traditionally close relations between the two countries soured amid Slovakia's pro-Russian pivot under Prime Minister Robert Fico.
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  • The Czech National Bank (CNB) holds a meeting on financial stability today, with the decision on the countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate and other macroprudential settings expected at 14:30GMT/15:30CET. At the previous financial stability meeting in November, the Bank Board decided to leave the CCyB rate unchanged at 1.25% and said that "if the economy continues to move into the growth phase of the financial cycle, the CNB is ready to increase the buffer rate."
  • CNB Governor Ales Michl reiterated his warning that Czechia should avoid too loose monetary and fiscal policies in order to better prepare for future shocks that may have their sources abroad. The Governor wrote on X that the role of import prices as a driver of inflation has been increasing, which the central bank's DSGE model failed to predict.
  • Czech real wages grew by 4.2% Y/Y in 4Q24, exceeding the consensus forecast of +3.8% and the CNB's projection of +4.0%. In the whole 2024, nominal wages rose by 7.1% Y/Y and real wages increased by 4.6% Y/Y.
  • President Petr Pavel and his Slovak counterpart Peter Pellegrini said that differences in foreign policy views should not have a negative impact on bilateral relations. Traditionally close relations between the two countries soured amid Slovakia's pro-Russian pivot under Prime Minister Robert Fico.