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CNH at Record Lows as Hong Kong Stocks Spiral

CHINA
  • The tough local finish for the Hang Seng (down 6%) and CSI-300 (down 2.7%) summarises the market view of confirmation for a third term for Xi Jinping - and the reshuffle of the politburo standing committee (including the removal of Li Keqiang and Wang Yang).
  • Most analysts across both markets and politics are pointing to the removal of pro-reform voices and those arguing for market/economic liberalisation as the key factor behind the move, with some of the largest decliners including the likes of Alibaba and Tencent, both of which fell over 9% in Hong Kong trade.
  • Moves have been exacerbated by reports of foreign investors being net sellers of a record $2.5bln in Chinese equity markets today, via stock connect link data.
  • This puts USD/CNH north of 7.30 for the first time on record and will keep markets on watch for any further intervention. State banks were said to be selling dollars to contain the rise in the onshore USD/CNY rate last week, with the 7.25 level being defended.
Figure 1: Chinese currency, Hong Kong equities slide following confirmation of Xi's third term

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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