Free Trial

Conf Board Confidence The Latest Survey To Point To Delta Impact

DATA REACT

Yet another August-dated survey has shown a decline in confidence: today saw both the MNI Chicago PMI and the Conference Board Consumer Confidence readings disappoint.

  • The latter fell to 113.8 from 125.1 in July, with the present situation and expectations readings each decreasing sharply. As noted by Conference Board Senior Director of Economic Indicators Lynn Franco in the release: "Concerns about the Delta variant—and, to a lesser degree, rising gas and food prices—resulted in a less favorable view of current economic conditions and short-term growth prospects."
  • Not all was negative in the survey, with the much-watched jobs "plentiful" minus "hard to find" metric slipping to a 3-month low but still-elevated 42.8%, suggesting that the labor market remains strong with wage pressures not far behind (see chart).
  • Still, the combination of the Delta variant and higher prices have clearly dented confidence in late summer compared with elevated levels coming out of lockdowns (UMichigan pointed to the same thing). September's readings will bear close watching to see if this is merely an inevitable slowdown from an unsustainably high level or a longer-lingering drop.


To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.