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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessConsolidating Prior Steepening Ahead Of GDP/PCE Data
- Cash Tsy yields sit 0.5bp lower to 0.5bp higher on the day as markets await key US data, plus further supply with the 7Y after yesterday's modest tail for the 5Y.
- It consolidates yesterday’s bear steepening, with 2s10s at -27.7bps after -27.1bp yesterday marked the steepest since January.
- TYM4 has kept to a narrow range on subdued volumes of 220k. The bear trend remains in place. At 107-26+ (+ 03), it’s off yesterday’s low of 107-20 whilst support is seen at 107-13+ (Apr 16 low).
- Overnight flow has seen another TU/FV/UXY fly trade, selling the wings & buying the belly, after a similar structure during pre-NY trade yesterday. With the 2s5s10s cash butterfly continuing to see 5s trading close to the cheapest levels since Oct '23, the block looks to fade that move.
- Data: GDP/PCE Q1 advance (0830ET), Weekly jobless claims (0830ET), Adv Goods trade balance Mar (0830ET), Retail and wholesale inventories Mar/Mar prelim (0830ET), Pending home sales Mar (1000ET), Kansas City Fed mfg Apr (1100ET).
- Note/bond issuance: US Tsy $44B 7Y Note auction (91282CKN0) – 1300ET
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $70B 4W, $75B 8W Bill auctions – 1130ET
- Earnings: Today sees some heavy names with Microsoft and Alphabet after the close.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.