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Continued PPI Deflation

SWEDEN

Sweden producer and trade price data for August showed further Y/Y declines, the latter aided by a slightly stronger SEK through August than in months prior.

  • PPI printed at -5.9% Y/Y (vs -2.1% prior) and was driven by beneficial energy price base effects. Excluding energy products, PPI was 3.0% Y/Y (vs 4.8% prior).
  • PPI saw a second sequential monthly fall at -0.7% M/M (vs -0.6% prior), as import and export prices fell.
  • Import and export prices were driven down by lower prices on a broad range of manufactured goods, but slightly offset by monthly increases in petroleum and crude prices during August.
  • Overall, the deflationary data remains encouraging, but a slower pace of deflation could be seen in future months as beneficial base effects from energy are offset by upstream price increases seen over summer and September SEK weakness feeds into the prints.


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