December 27, 2024 10:21 GMT
FOREX: Conviction Lacking, But AUD Still Eyes Cycle Lows
FOREX
- The greenback is flat headed into the Friday NY open, with markets returning from the festive break to trade in a consolidative fashion - respecting recent ranges amid particularly light volumes.
- Currency futures volumes show activity well below the already-subdued average for this time of day: EUR futures are 12% below, JPY 30% below, GBP 40% below and AUD 25% below what you'd expect to see at point.
- Equity markets across Europe are slightly higher, in contrast with US futures which point to a lower open on Wall Street today. Infitting with softer US stock markets, AUD is poorest spot performer in G10, keeping AUD/USD on course for a test of 0.6199, the cycle low, on any further weakness.
- Global bond markets are seeing slightly more interest, with the US 10y yield opting to reverse almost the entirety of yesterday's decline and rise back above 4.60% - although conviction looks lacking here with market depth likely particularly thin.
- US trade balance data and wholesale inventories releases make up the rest of the quiet schedule.
170 words