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Core CPI Accelerates in November

FRANCE DATA
MNI (London)

FRANCE NOV FINAL HICP +0.4% M/M (FLASH +0.5%); +7.1% Y/Y (=FLASH)

FRANCE DEC MANUFACTURING SENTIMENT 101 (=FCST); NOV 101

  • November final CPI data confirmed that French inflation was steady at +7.1% y/y, on par with the October peak. Prices rose by a downwardly revised +0.5% m/m, slowing from the +1.2% m/m jump recorded in October.
  • Food and energy prices continued to be the main drivers of inflation. Food CPI quickened by 0.1pp to +12.1% y/y, whilst energy prices inflation eased by 0.7pp to +18.4% y/y.
  • Of greater concern was core inflation, which accelerated by 0.3pp to rise +5.3% y/y in November, boosted by accelerating manufactured products prices (+4.4% y/y from +4.2% y/y). Service prices ticked down only marginally by 0.1pp to +3.0% y/y.
  • As such, French CPI has remained persistently elevated, giving confidence to the ECB's continued monetary tightening.
  • French manufacturing sentiment was unchanged in December at 101, remaining just above the long-term average. Forward-looking indicators weakened though, with foreign order books deteriorating and a fresh uptick in expected selling prices as inflation remains persistently high.

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