MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, December 31

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MNI: US NAR NOV PENDING HOME SALES INDEX 79 V 77.3 IN OCT

MNI DEC CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER 36.9 VS NOV 40.2

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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[Correction] Treasuries Start NYE On A Whimper

US TSYS

*Correcting the close timings from original 1136GMT post

  • Cash Tsys have been subdued since reopening after no Tokyo session.
  • 2Y yields are -0.4bps at 0.720%, 5Y unch at 1.263%, 10Y unch at 1.508% and 30Y +0.2bps at 1.919%.
  • TYH2 is up +0-01+ at 130-14+ on very low volumes (60k) as it slowly continues to retrace Wednesday's sell-off. Initial support could be seen at 130-03 (Dec 29 low) before a firmer 129-31 (Dec 8 low). Initial resistance is 130-23+ (Dec 29 high).
  • Nothing of note scheduled for today's shortened session (cash Tsys close 1400ET but GLOBEX runs full session to 1700ET).
  • Normal service will resume on Monday with the Markit PMI for Dec plus a resumption of bill NY Fed buy-ops and bill issuance, although volumes will be lower with the London bank holiday.
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