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Covid Trends Look Better, But Malaysia Remains Cautious Ahead Of Holiday

MYR

Spot USD/MYR has crept higher in early trade, albeit hasn't yet breached a cycle high of MYR4.2102 printed last Friday. The rate last changes hands +33 pips at MYR4.2087 and a break above MYR4.2102 would open up the 50% retracement of the Mar 23, 2020 - Jan 4, 2021 sell-off at MYR4.2224. Conversely, a dip through Jul 12 low of MYR4.1810 would give bears some reprieve.

  • Malaysia's daily count of new Covid-19 infections has eased over the last few days, reaching its lowest point in a week on Sunday. Selangor remains the main contributor of new cases, but Dep PM Ismail Sabri said last Friday that the authorities wouldn't extend enhanced restrictions in the state.
  • Elsewhere, Malaysia is looking at relaxing some of its Covid-19 countermeasures. Science Min & vaccine czar Khairy said that the gov't plans to ease restrictions for individuals who are fully vaccinated against the virus, with details to be announced soon. At the same time, the gov't pledged to ramp up enforcement measures ahead of tomorrow's Hari Raya Haji holiday.
  • Officials aim at offering at least one jab to each adult resident of the Klang Valley by August 1 and expect to fully inoculate all adult Malaysians by October, under the newly fast-tracked National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme. The previous target was vaccinating 80% of Malaysian residents by December.
  • FinMin Zafrul gave an exclusive interview to the SCMP, in which he signalled the gov't's willingness to cooperate with the opposition over the National Recovery Plan. Zafrul met with some leading opposition figures last week and will host another round of talks in the coming days.
  • The main item of note on Malaysia's economic docket this week is monthly CPI data, due Friday. Local markets will be closed for a public holiday tomorrow.

Fig. 1: Malaysia Daily Confirmed Covid-19 Cases

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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