Free Trial

Credit Agricole Expect Consistent 100bp Cuts to Effective Rate

HUNGARY
  • Credit Agricole believe that the normalisation of monetary policy will be continued in the coming months and that the one-day deposit rate will be gradually reduced at an average pace of 100bps per month to reach 13% in September.
  • The cuts may be delivered in smaller increments than 100bps, irrespective of monthly NBH meetings, as the one-day deposit rate is set at daily tenders, they say.
  • Moreover, Credit Agricole expect that in the coming months, as inflation quickly declines from the currently elevated levels, the NBH will continue to further narrow the interest rate corridor (i.e., by lowering the overnight collateralised lending rate).
  • They expect that the first cuts of the base rate will happen no sooner than in Q423, once inflation comes down. That view is consistent with the assessment of the NBH, according to which it is necessary to maintain the current level of the base rate over a prolonged period.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.