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Crude and Cracks Higher After EIA Data

OIL

Big build in crude stocks driven by a larger than expected fall in refinery utilisation despite a fall in exports back to near normal levels. Production dipped back below 12mbpd.

  • Refinery runs have fallen below 90% and the lowest since April due to refinery maintenance.
  • Distillate stocks drew keeping inventory levels well below normal.
  • Gasoline saw strong exports and higher imports and another fall in the 4-week average implied demand.
  • Diesel exports remain strong with overseas demand from Europe. Diesel 4-week implied demand has recovered back to near normal levels after the dip in recent weeks.
  • Crude markets are slightly higher in reaction to the data with time spreads unchanged. Both gasoline and diesel spreads are higher on the day with tight supplies supporting prices.
    • Brent DEC 22 up 1.1% at 93.43$/bbl
    • WTI NOV 22 up 1.1% at 88.21$/bbl
    • WTI-Brent up 0.09$/bbl at -6.43$/bbl
    • WTI NOV 22-DEC 22 unchanged at 1.21$/bbl
    • WTI DEC 22-DEC 23 up 0.43$/bbl at 11.6$/bbl
    • US gasoline crack up 1.3$/bbl at 24.5$/bbl
    • US ULSD crack up 4$/bbl at 81.33$/bbl

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