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Crude Call-Put Skew Narrows on Easing Economic Risk Sentiment

OIL OPTIONS

The second month crude options call-put skew is narrowing with the improve risk sentiment and recovering futures prices. Uncertainty surrounds both supply and demand with US recessionary risks balanced with a potential recovery in China on the demand side and OPEC cuts weighed against getter than expected Russian output on the supply side.

  • The Brent second month 25 delta call-put skew has closed in to -5.4% from a low of about -8.0% last week. The WTI skew has narrowed from -9.2% to -6.6%.
  • The Dec23 skews have also narrowed from lows in late April with Brent up from -6.5% to -5.1% and WTI up from -7.6% to -6.4%.
  • ATM implied volatility has fallen back from highs on 4 May bringing Brent second month volatility back to 35.6% and WTI to 37.3%.
    • Brent JUL 23 up 1.9% at 76.74$/bbl
    • WTI JUN 23 up 2.2% at 72.94$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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