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Crude Extends Rally Amid Thin Trading

OIL

Crude continues to edge higher after recovering from losses earlier this morning towards first technical resistance level amid thin trading due to the US holiday.

  • Ongoing Middle Eastern tensions and further Red Sea vessel attacks in recent days are outweighing concern for the pace of global demand growth with US rates potentially higher for longer and with ongoing China growth uncertainty.
  • Crude time spreads are also testing the high levels seen on Feb 16 after strong gains last week. Uncertainty over OPEC+ output cut commitment is helping limit upside although Iraq and Kazakhstan have stated plans to compensate for any excess oil output.
  • Technicals show the next Brent resistance at the Feb 14 high of 83.60$/bbl and first support at the 50 day EMA at 79.88$/bbl.
    • Brent APR 24 up 0.1% at 83.57$/bbl
    • WTI APR 24 up 0.1% at 78.53$/bbl
    • WTI-Brent up 0.01$/bbl at -5.04$/bbl
    • Brent APR 24-MAY 24 up 0.07$/bbl at 0.8$/bbl
    • Brent JUN 24-DEC 24 unchanged at 3.17$/bbl
    • WTI APR 24-MAY 24 up 0.02$/bbl at 0.5$/bbl
    • WTI JUN 24-DEC 24 down -0.02$/bbl at 3.27$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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