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COMMODITIES: Crude, Gold Rally Amid Middle-East Uncertainty, China Optimism

COMMODITIES
  • WTI has traded higher today, boosted by China’s plan to loosen monetary policy, coupled with increased Middle East uncertainty.
  • WTI Jan 25 is up by 1.8% at $68.4/bbl.
  • The toppling of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad's regime at the weekend has added a level of Middle East geopolitical uncertainty for oil markets on Monday.
  • Despite today’s gains, a bearish threat in WTI futures remains present, and a reversal lower would focus attention on $65.74, the Oct 1 low. Initial firm resistance to watch is unchanged at $72.41, the Nov 7 high.
  • Meanwhile, spot gold has risen by 1.0% to $2,660/oz, buoyed by the boost to risk sentiment from the China stimulus headlines.
  • China will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025 to boost domestic demand and stabilise both property and stock markets, according to a Political Bureau meeting.
  • For gold, trend conditions remain bullish, with resistance to watch at $2,721.4, the Nov 25 high.
  • Silver is outperforming today and is up by 2.8% at $31.8/oz, bringing the gold-silver ratio down briefly to its lowest since Oct 31.
  • For silver a clear break of the 50-day EMA would open $33.125, the Nov 1 high.
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  • WTI has traded higher today, boosted by China’s plan to loosen monetary policy, coupled with increased Middle East uncertainty.
  • WTI Jan 25 is up by 1.8% at $68.4/bbl.
  • The toppling of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad's regime at the weekend has added a level of Middle East geopolitical uncertainty for oil markets on Monday.
  • Despite today’s gains, a bearish threat in WTI futures remains present, and a reversal lower would focus attention on $65.74, the Oct 1 low. Initial firm resistance to watch is unchanged at $72.41, the Nov 7 high.
  • Meanwhile, spot gold has risen by 1.0% to $2,660/oz, buoyed by the boost to risk sentiment from the China stimulus headlines.
  • China will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025 to boost domestic demand and stabilise both property and stock markets, according to a Political Bureau meeting.
  • For gold, trend conditions remain bullish, with resistance to watch at $2,721.4, the Nov 25 high.
  • Silver is outperforming today and is up by 2.8% at $31.8/oz, bringing the gold-silver ratio down briefly to its lowest since Oct 31.
  • For silver a clear break of the 50-day EMA would open $33.125, the Nov 1 high.