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Currencies on a More Stable Footing Pre-Payrolls

FOREX
  • Currency markets trade on a more solid footing relative to the uncertainty seen earlier in the week, pressing the USD lower headed into the NFP release, while haven currrencies retreat. The CHF is the poorest performer across G10, closely followed by JPY. NOK makes up the other end of the table, allowing USD/NOK to extend to three consecutive sessions of losses.
  • The USD Index is softer, but off the worst levels of the week. This week's price action has been USD negative more broadly, but markets have steered clear of a major test of horizontal resistance at 101.01 as well as the YTD lows at 100.79-80.
  • Across equity markets, sentiment has stabilised somewhat, with headline indices buoyed by a solid set of earnings from Apple after-market Thursday. Their shares trade higher by just over 2% ahead of the open.
  • Focus rests on the upcoming NFP release, at which markets expected job gains to slow to around 180k - the slowest pace of job gains since 2020. The Canadian equivalent release also crosses, with markets seeing an uptick in the jobless rate to 5.1% from 5.0% previously.

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