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Curve Flattens On Tuesday

US TSYS

TYU3 deals at 114-00+, +0-07+, in line with late NY levels

  • Cash tsys finished 1bp cheaper to 4bps richer across the major benchmarks, the curve twist flattened pivoting on 3s.
  • In a quiet day data-wise, tsys were pressured to session lows on spillover from EGBs, rate locking tied to incoming corporate debt issuance also weighed in early in the NY session.
  • Tsys firmed off session lows as the S&P500 was buoyed by financial shares which continued to recover from Monday's sell off, which was driven by the potential raising of capital requirements for banks.
  • FOMC dated OIS price ~6bps of hikes into next week's meeting, a terminal rate of ~5.25% is seen in July with ~25bps of cuts priced for 2023.
  • RBA-speak from Gov. Lowe and Chinese Trade Balance headline in Asia today. Further out we have US Trade Balance and the Bank of Canada's monetary policy decision.

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