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CZKJPY Approaching Key Resistance At 5.455

CZECHIA
  • CZKJPY has been surging in recent weeks amid strong policy divergence between CNB and BoJ.
  • On one hand, CEE central banks are likely to prolong their tightening cycle to combat inflation and therefore reviewed the terminal rate to the upside; CNB terminal rate is likely to be increased up to 4.5%/5% in H1 2022.
  • On the other hand, BoJ is far from starting its policy normalization; Kuroda reiterated last month that the central bank is 'not likely to make moves toward policy normalization'.
  • CZKJPY is gradually approaching its 5.455 resistance, which was the high reached in early February 2018 when liquidity reached its peak in the EM world (pre-Covid shock).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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