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CZKRUB Halted By Its 38.2% Fibo at 3.48

CZECHIA
  • CZKRUB has been retracing higher in the past two days following the strong consolidation last week amid RUB strength after the CBR decided to raise its benchmark rate by 50bps on Friday (April 23rd) to 5% (due to growing concerns over rising inflationary pressures).
  • The CBR adjusted its year-end inflation forecast notably higher, from 3.7%/4.2% interval to 4.7%/5.2%.
  • The chart below shows that CZKRUB got strong support at 3.48, which represents the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 3.31 - 3.59 range (2021 low/high).
  • Traders have been chasing the CZK momentum in recent weeks as CNB will still be the first central bank to stat hiking rates in Western/CEE Europe this year.
  • Key resistance to watch on the topside stands at 3.60, which represents the pair's all time high.
  • On the downside, next support to watch after 3.48 stands at 3.45 (50% Fibo, 100D SMA).


Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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