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Dallas Fed Mfg Index Continues Upside Surprises In Feb, New Orders Bounce

US DATA
  • The Dallas Fed manufacturing index printed -11.3 (cons -15.0) as it pulled back from a particularly low -27.4.
  • It follows February beats for the Empire survey (-2.4 vs cons -12.5), Philly Fed (+5.2 vs cons -8.1) and last week’s flash US mfg PMI (51.5 vs cons 50.7).
  • Notably, new orders swung from -12.5 to +5.2 for their first positive reading since May’22. Elsewhere: “The capacity utilization and shipments indexes both posted double-digit increases to push up from contractionary territory (negative readings) into neutral territory (readings near zero).”
  • Separately, and in light of the sharp decline in average hours worked in the January payrolls report: “Labor market measures suggested growth in employment but shorter workweeks this month.”

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