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DBK Conf Call; Positive Guidance, Credit Curve Little Changed

FINANCIALS

DBK (DBK GY) conference call guiding towards earnings upgrades but also higher equity payouts. Deutsche curve indicating relatively flat, even though this is, net, positive news.


  • Raised revenue guidance and aiming for EUR32bn in FY25 (consensus: 30.0bn). Credit losses were marginally ahead of guidance but partly due to a model change. This sounds like earnings upgrades.
  • Mgmt alluded to “strong capital management” with a “strong CET1 ratio” but are moving to improve equity payouts towards 50% across FY24-25.
  • Feels like a real two-way pull of better operational metrics and lower risk but at least half of that benefit is flowing towards equity, rather than credit holders.

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