April 16, 2024 18:08 GMT
Declining Homicide Rate Could Defang Key Trump Campaign Attack
US
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President Biden has been given a potential campaign boost after data showed that the homicide rate in major US cities is falling at the quickest pace in decades, reversing a trend which accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic,
- Axios notes: “Polls show crime is a top concern ahead of the 2024 election — and it's an issue where Republicans regularly edge Democrats. But falling homicide rates could take steam out of the crucial GOP advantage.”
- Former President Donald Trump's campaign said in a statement in March: "In Joe Biden’s first year in office, twelve major cities broke all-time high murder records. Biden’s policies and rhetoric have enabled criminals – with crime spiking as a result... Since Biden took office, numerous cities have seen homicides hit new record levels. Other cities, including Washington, D.C. , have seen spikes in violent crime not experienced in decades."
- The Pew Research Center noted ahead of the 2022 midterm elections: “Around six-in-ten registered voters (61%) say violent crime is very important when making their decision about who to vote for in this year’s congressional elections.”
Figure 1: Changes in Year-to-Date Reported Homicides in Most Populous US Cities
Source: Axios
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