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DeSantis Favoured To Take Republican Presidential Nomination

US

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) has maintained his post-Midterm favourite status to take the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.

  • According to betting exchange Smarkets, DeSantis has an implied probability of 50% of taking the GOP nomination. Former President Donald Trump is the second favourite with an implied probability of 28% of winning.
  • DeSantis is expected to announce his presidential bid in mid-2023 but he hasn’t yet faced significant scrutiny on his aptitude for the job and it would be hasty to conclude that Trump isn’t the frontrunner at this stage.
  • Trump retains sizeable support amongst grassroots Republicans and is a proven performer on the primary stage. Questions remain over whether DeSantis has the charisma or public nous to best Trump in a gruelling nationwide campaign.

Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election, Republican Primary Winner (Smarkets)

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