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Free AccessDeSantis Favoured To Take Republican Presidential Nomination
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) has maintained his post-Midterm favourite status to take the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
- According to betting exchange Smarkets, DeSantis has an implied probability of 50% of taking the GOP nomination. Former President Donald Trump is the second favourite with an implied probability of 28% of winning.
- DeSantis is expected to announce his presidential bid in mid-2023 but he hasn’t yet faced significant scrutiny on his aptitude for the job and it would be hasty to conclude that Trump isn’t the frontrunner at this stage.
- Trump retains sizeable support amongst grassroots Republicans and is a proven performer on the primary stage. Questions remain over whether DeSantis has the charisma or public nous to best Trump in a gruelling nationwide campaign.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election, Republican Primary Winner (Smarkets)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.