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Domestic matters drove activity this...>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Domestic matters drove activity this week, with much weaker than
exp. inflation triggering a strong bid despite various holidays being observed.
Bills trade 16-19 ticks higher through the greens at writing, in w/w terms.
- The aforementioned domestic CPI print was a game changer, pressing domestic
3-Year yields to record lows, trading around a full 25bp through cash at one
point. The data also drove RBA rate cut re-pricing. OIS price a ~50% chance of a
cut in May, up from a mere 12% pre-release (but back from reaction highs). A
swathe of banks front-loaded their existing rate cut calls/joined the camp
calling for a cut, with some now looking for back to back cuts in May and June.
- The RBA continues to struggle with the trade-off of sub-target inflation and a
strong labour market, as outlined in the minutes of the most recent monetary
policy decision. The upcoming federal election also adds a political curve ball
to matters.
- Also worth highlighting that 1-, 3- & 6- month BBSW all registered fresh all
time lows this week.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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