'Double Haters' Slightly More Likely To Break For Biden

A survey from YouGov has found that voters who have an unfavourable opinion of both President Biden and former President Trump - the so-called double-haters - are slightly more likely to vote for Biden, but there is little to separate the pair.

• YouGov reports that among the 17% of voters with an unfavourable opinion of both, 27% would pick Biden, 17% would pick Trump, and 34% say they would vote for another candidate.
• The report notes: “polls over the past year have shown a consistently close race between Biden and Trump among voters who dislike both — a group that is roughly one-quarter Democrats, one-quarter Republicans, and one-half Independents.”
• YouGov: “This close race among voters who have unfavorable opinions of both candidates is a change from the 2020 contest between Biden and Trump, when Biden had a consistent lead among voters who disliked both candidates.”

Figure 1: 2024 Voting Intention (% of registered voters who have unfavorable opinions of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump)”