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Durable Goods and Real Consumer Spending Add To April Upside Surprises

US DATA
  • Further to the surprise strength in various core PCE metrics, both personal spending and core durable goods were stronger than expected.
  • Real consumer spending increased 0.5% M/M in April (cons 0.3) after an unrevised 0.0% in March, in continued contrast to calculated real retail sales falling -0.2% M/M in April and -0.3% in March when deflating by CPI goods prices.
  • Core durable goods orders meanwhile saw a larger beat again, rising 1.4% M/M (cons -0.1%) after a upward revised -0.6% (initial -1.1%).
  • Core shipments, with its more direct impact into GDP data, saw a smaller beat with 0.5% (cons 0.1) after an upward revised -0.2% (cons -0.5%) but the combination nevertheless supports a latest push nudge higher in industrial production.

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