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ECB Terminal Pricing Pushing Above 4.00%

STIR

The 50bp BoE rate hike and familiar, hawkish utterances from Bundesbank chief Nagel have helped the majority of the liquid ECB-dated OIS strip tick higher today, with terminal rate pricing around the 4.05% mark (in deposit rate terms) at typing, a little off BoE-reaction extremes. A hawkish Norges Bank outcome and an inflation-wary SNB have also factored into pricing as the strip steepens, with the higher for longer idea gaining more traction (albeit with a non-negligible chance of rate cuts priced for early ’24).


ECB Meeting€STR ECB-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective €STR Rate (bp)
Jul-233.633+23.6
Sep-233.837+44.0
Oct-233.927+53.0
Dec-233.945+54.8
Jan-243.937+54.0
Mar-243.862+46.5
Apr-243.780+38.3

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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