MNI BRIEF: US Budget Deficit At $1.15T Thru Feb

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BOC DID NOT SERIOUSLY CONSIDER A 50BP RATE CUT- MACKLEM

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MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, March 12

MNI BRIEF: China To Boost Environmental Equipment Industry

MNI: US FEB TREASURY BUDGET -$307.0B

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: 1/3/6-month UKTB Due Thursday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Greece Synd / Italy Auction Thurs

GERMANY: Union/SPD Migration Alignment After Turmoil Threatened Debt Deal (BILD)

GERMANY: Official Interim Election Results Tilt Towards Missing BSW & FDP

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GLOBAL: Economic Data Calendar 10/02/2025

GLOBAL
BulletData CalendarCalendar
DateGMT/LocalPeriodCountryReleasePriorConsensus 
11/02/20250001/0001JanUKBRC Like-for-Like Sales y/y3.1--%
11/02/20250001/0001JanUKBRC Total Sales y/y3.2--%
11/02/20251100/0600JanUSNFIB Small Business Index105.1104.7 
11/02/2025-JanCNM2 YTD y/y7.37.2%
11/02/2025-JanCNNew Loans18.094.53CNY (t)
11/02/2025-Q4CNSocial Financing32.36.5CNY (t)
11/02/20251330/0830DecCABuilding Permits-5.92%
11/02/20251355/085508-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)4.9--%
11/02/20251355/085508-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)4.5--%
11/02/20251630/113014-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn yield per acre current year---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCotton Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCotton Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans - Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans yield per acre current year---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USWheat - Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USWheat Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
12/02/20250030/1130DecAUNew Home Loans m/m----%
12/02/20250900/1000DecITIndustrial Production m/m----%
12/02/20250900/1000DecITIndustrial Production y/y wda----%
12/02/20251000/1000FebUKBid to Cover Ratio----%
12/02/20251200/070007-FebUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w2.2--%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (1 dp)0.20.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (3 dp)0.2250.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)3.23.2%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Supercore m/m (3 dp)0.205--%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI m/m (1 dp)0.40.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI m/m (3 dp)0.3930.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI y/y (nsa)2.92.9%
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index December---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index November---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index October---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index September---- 
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
12/02/20251900/1400JanUSTreasury Budget Balance----USD (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - 3m y/y1--%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - 3m/3m0-0.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - m/m0.10.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKNon-EU Trade Balance-7.72--GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKTotal Trade Balance-4.757-4GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKVisible Trade Balance-19.31-18.4GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndex of Services 3m/3m00.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndex of Services m/m0.10.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndustrial Production m/m-0.40.2%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndustrial Production y/y-1.8-2.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKManufacturing Output m/m-0.30.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKManufacturing Output y/y-1.2-1.9%
13/02/20250700/0800JanDEHICP (final) m/m0.7-0.2%
13/02/20250700/0800JanDEHICP (final) y/y2.82.8%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKConstruction Output 3M/3M0.2--%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKConstruction Output 3My/y-0.2--%
13/02/20250700/0700Q4UKGDP (1st) q/q0--%
13/02/20250700/0700Q4UKGDP (1st) y/y0.9--%
13/02/20250730/0830JanCHCPI m/m-0.1-0.1%
13/02/20250730/0830JanCHCPI y/y0.60.4%
13/02/20251000/1100DecEUIndustrial Production m/m0.2-0.6%
13/02/20251000/1100DecEUIndustrial Production y/y wda-1.9-3.1%
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSContinuing Claims1886--(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSInitial Jobless Claims219--(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev----(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev----(k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI ex. food and energy y/y3.53.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI ex. food, energy, and trade services y/y3.3--%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI m/m0.20.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI y/y3.33.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.1--%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m00.3%
13/02/20251530/103007-FebUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
13/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
14/02/20250800/0900JanESHICP (f) m/m2.82.9%
14/02/20250800/0900JanESHICP (f) y/y0.4-0.1%
14/02/20251000/1100Q4EUGDP (p) q/q0.40%
14/02/20251000/1100Q4EUGDP (p) y/y0.90.9%
14/02/20251330/0830DecCAManufacturing Sales0.80.7%
14/02/20251330/0830DecCAWholesale Sales-0.6--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (control group) m/m0.70.4%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.40.3%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.3--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales m/m0.40%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSExports Price Index m/m2.2--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSImports Price Index m/m0.1--%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSCapacity Utilization77.677.7%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSIndustrial Production m/m0.90.3%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised----%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised----%
14/02/20251500/1000DecUSBusiness Inventories m/m----%
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Gas Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Oil Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Gas Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Oil Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Rig Count---- 
17/02/20252350/0850Q4JPGDP q/q (sa)----%
17/02/20250430/1330DecJPIndustrial Production m/m----%
17/02/20250430/1330DecJPIndustrial Production y/y----%
17/02/20250700/0800JanSEUnemployment Rate----%
17/02/20251000/1100DecEUTrade Balance----E (b)
17/02/20251315/0815JanCACMHC Housing Starts----(k)
17/02/20251330/0830DecCAIntl Securities Transactions----CAD (b)
384 words

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DateGMT/LocalPeriodCountryReleasePriorConsensus 
11/02/20250001/0001JanUKBRC Like-for-Like Sales y/y3.1--%
11/02/20250001/0001JanUKBRC Total Sales y/y3.2--%
11/02/20251100/0600JanUSNFIB Small Business Index105.1104.7 
11/02/2025-JanCNM2 YTD y/y7.37.2%
11/02/2025-JanCNNew Loans18.094.53CNY (t)
11/02/2025-Q4CNSocial Financing32.36.5CNY (t)
11/02/20251330/0830DecCABuilding Permits-5.92%
11/02/20251355/085508-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)4.9--%
11/02/20251355/085508-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)4.5--%
11/02/20251630/113014-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCorn yield per acre current year---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCotton Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USCotton Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans - Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USSoybeans yield per acre current year---- 
11/02/20251700/120015/16USWheat - Ending Stocks current year----(m)
11/02/20251700/120015/16USWheat Production current year----(m)
11/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
12/02/20250030/1130DecAUNew Home Loans m/m----%
12/02/20250900/1000DecITIndustrial Production m/m----%
12/02/20250900/1000DecITIndustrial Production y/y wda----%
12/02/20251000/1000FebUKBid to Cover Ratio----%
12/02/20251200/070007-FebUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w2.2--%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (1 dp)0.20.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (3 dp)0.2250.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)3.23.2%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI Supercore m/m (3 dp)0.205--%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI m/m (1 dp)0.40.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI m/m (3 dp)0.3930.3%
12/02/20251330/0830JanUSCPI y/y (nsa)2.92.9%
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index December---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index November---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index October---- 
12/02/20251330/0830Q4USAll Items less food and energy SA index September---- 
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/02/20251530/103007-FebUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
12/02/20251900/1400JanUSTreasury Budget Balance----USD (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - 3m y/y1--%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - 3m/3m0-0.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKGDP - m/m0.10.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKNon-EU Trade Balance-7.72--GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKTotal Trade Balance-4.757-4GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKVisible Trade Balance-19.31-18.4GBP (b)
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndex of Services 3m/3m00.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndex of Services m/m0.10.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndustrial Production m/m-0.40.2%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKIndustrial Production y/y-1.8-2.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKManufacturing Output m/m-0.30.1%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKManufacturing Output y/y-1.2-1.9%
13/02/20250700/0800JanDEHICP (final) m/m0.7-0.2%
13/02/20250700/0800JanDEHICP (final) y/y2.82.8%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKConstruction Output 3M/3M0.2--%
13/02/20250700/0700DecUKConstruction Output 3My/y-0.2--%
13/02/20250700/0700Q4UKGDP (1st) q/q0--%
13/02/20250700/0700Q4UKGDP (1st) y/y0.9--%
13/02/20250730/0830JanCHCPI m/m-0.1-0.1%
13/02/20250730/0830JanCHCPI y/y0.60.4%
13/02/20251000/1100DecEUIndustrial Production m/m0.2-0.6%
13/02/20251000/1100DecEUIndustrial Production y/y wda-1.9-3.1%
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSContinuing Claims1886--(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSInitial Jobless Claims219--(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev----(k)
13/02/20251330/083008-FebUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev----(k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/083006-FebUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI ex. food and energy y/y3.53.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI ex. food, energy, and trade services y/y3.3--%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI m/m0.20.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSFinal Demand PPI y/y3.33.2%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.1--%
13/02/20251330/0830JanUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m00.3%
13/02/20251530/103007-FebUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
13/02/20251800/1300FebUSBid to Cover Ratio---- 
14/02/20250800/0900JanESHICP (f) m/m2.82.9%
14/02/20250800/0900JanESHICP (f) y/y0.4-0.1%
14/02/20251000/1100Q4EUGDP (p) q/q0.40%
14/02/20251000/1100Q4EUGDP (p) y/y0.90.9%
14/02/20251330/0830DecCAManufacturing Sales0.80.7%
14/02/20251330/0830DecCAWholesale Sales-0.6--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (control group) m/m0.70.4%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.40.3%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.3--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSRetail Sales m/m0.40%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSExports Price Index m/m2.2--%
14/02/20251330/0830JanUSImports Price Index m/m0.1--%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSCapacity Utilization77.677.7%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSIndustrial Production m/m0.90.3%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised----%
14/02/20251415/0915JanUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised----%
14/02/20251500/1000DecUSBusiness Inventories m/m----%
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Gas Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Oil Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes Canada Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Gas Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Oil Rig Count---- 
14/02/20251800/130014-FebUSBaker Hughes US Rig Count---- 
17/02/20252350/0850Q4JPGDP q/q (sa)----%
17/02/20250430/1330DecJPIndustrial Production m/m----%
17/02/20250430/1330DecJPIndustrial Production y/y----%
17/02/20250700/0800JanSEUnemployment Rate----%
17/02/20251000/1100DecEUTrade Balance----E (b)
17/02/20251315/0815JanCACMHC Housing Starts----(k)
17/02/20251330/0830DecCAIntl Securities Transactions----CAD (b)