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Economists Raise 2022 CPI Estimate to 8.20% Vs. 7.00%

COLOMBIA
  • The central bank published their latest monthly survey of economists on website, indicating a further deterioration of inflation expectations:
    • Next rate move to be a 100 bps increase in June
    • 2022 year-end inflation raised to 8.20% from 7.00%
    • 2023 year-end inflation raised to 4.60% from 4.06%
    • 2022 year-end exchange rate raised to 3850 from 3755 COP/USD
    • 2023 year-end exchange rate raised to 3738 from 3702.5 COP/USD
  • Data due today includes GDP growth which is expected to slow with a 0.5% expansion quarter-on-quarter, compared with 4.3% prior, according to the median estimate of nine economists surveyed.
    • 1600BST/1100ET: March Trade Balance, est. -$1.1b, prior -$1.1b
    • 1700BST/1200ET: 1Q GDP q/q, est. 0.5%, prior 4.3%; y/y est. 7.7%, prior 10.8%
    • 1700BST/1200ET: March Economic Activity NSA YoY, est. 7.2%, prior 8.1%
  • Today marks the end of offer by Colombian billionaire Jaime Gilinski to buy as much as an additional 12% stake in food producer Grupo Nutresa.
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