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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessEconomists Split Re July Meeting Decision
The RBA surprised many economists by hiking rates 25bp to 4.1% at its June 6 meeting (see MNI RBA Preview – June 2023 here). In a Reuters survey following the meeting, analysts now expect one more tightening by September with rates then peaking at 4.35%, 25bp higher than the pre-meeting poll. Governor Lowe said on Wednesday that “more tightening may be required” and that the Board’s patience is limited.
- 20 of the 26 polled expect rates to reach 4.35% by September with the others expecting them to stay at 4.1%. 16 are forecasting a pause in July including ANZ, CBA and NAB but Westpac expects +25bp.
- The highest terminal rate in the survey was 4.85%.
- In another Reuters poll, home prices are now expected to be flat this year revised up from a double-digit fall forecast only 3-months ago.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.