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Edging Lower On a Firmer USD

GOLD

Gold is down slightly from closing levels at the end of last week, as the USD has recouped some losses from late last week. We were last around $1654, -0.20% for the session so far. We spiked above $1670 early in the session, as the yen rebound led a broad wave of USD selling, before correcting back lower.

  • Still, the precious metal has held onto a good proportion of gains from late last week. The dip below $1620 level was supported on Friday evening, and we remained above recent cyclical lows from September 28th.
  • The 0.80% gain for gold last week was a little at odds with higher US real yields (the 10yr finished the week down slightly at 1.68%, but this was still +10bps for the week), but it only partially reverses the -3% fall from the week prior.
  • Us yield momentum will likely remain key to gold's fortunes over a multi-day horizon.

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