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EGB/GILT

BOND SUMMARY

The eurphoria over the Pfizer vaccine has died down somewhat. Equities have inched lower while European sovereign bonds have rallied.

  • Gilts have traded firmer with yields 1-3bp lower on the day and the curve bull flattening.
  • The bund curve has similarly flattened with the 2s30s spread 2bp narrower.
  • OATs trade broadly in line with bunds. Last yields: 2-year -0.6845%, 5-year -0.6254%, 10-year -0.2752%, 30-year 0.4075%.
  • BTPs have outperformed with cash yields down 2-5bp.
  • Supply this morning came from the UK (Gilts, GBP4.25bn), Italy (M/L-T BTPs, EUR6.0bn) and Ireland (bonds, EUR1.25bn).
  • UK preliminary Q3 GDP came in close to expectations (15.5% Q/Q vs 158% survey) with both consumer spending and gross fixed capital formation growth exceeding expectations. Elsewhere, Eurozone industrial production for September missed (-6.8% Y/Y vs -5.8% survey).
  • There are reports of bitter feuding within Downing Street which has led to the resignation of the Director of Communications Lee Cain.

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